The results from the Ipergay study of intermittent pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) were published in the New England Journal of
Medicine (NEJM) on 1 December, World AIDS Day. The journal-published results
are little changed from those presented
at the CROI conference last February by principal investigator Jean-Michel
Molina but the researchers make a number of additional comments and are
notably cautious about not over-interpreting a study that only had 400
participants – very small for a prevention study – and an average of nine
months’ follow-up.
Despite this, Ipergay represents a major innovation in PrEP.
It is the first, and so far only, randomised study to show that an intermittent
regimen of PrEP, that users only take when anticipating sex, can be just as
effective as daily PrEP.
To summarise the results: in Ipergay 400 gay men and
transgender women were randomised to either take Truvada (tenofovir/emtricitabine) or a placebo.
The regimen that participants were told to take was a double dose (two pills) 24 to two hours
in advance of anticipated sex, and then a pill on both of the two days
following sex. If they continued to have sex, they were to keep taking one pill a day until
two days after the last sex. If they restarted sex, they had to take a double
dose if there had been more than a week since the previous sex.
The use of a placebo was somewhat controversial in Ipergay
as some activists felt that the effectiveness of PrEP had already been
sufficiently demonstrated by the iPrEx study of 2010. However effectiveness in
iPrEx was only 42% overall, and the writers comment that “The use of a placebo
was deemed to be justified because of the inconsistent efficacy of PrEP in
previous trials and the moderate efficacy in the iPrEx trial.”
There were 19 HIV infections during the whole Ipergay trial period
but three of those were determined to have happened shortly before participants
started taking PrEP/placebo. There were 14 infections in men allocated to placebo and two
in men allocated to PrEP.
In fact neither of these men had taken PrEP, or hardly
any, in the two-month period before they tested positive (in Ipergay, clinic
visits were every eight weeks). One new detail added in the NEJM piece is that participants
were asked to return unused pills and on the visit they were diagnosed, these two participants returned
respectively 60 and 58 out of the 60 pills given to them two months previously.
The 14/2 difference in infections represents an 86% (95% confidence
interval: 40%-98%) reduction in the risk of HIV infection in the trial
participants allocated to Truvada.
HIV incidence in the trial was 6.6% a year in placebo recipients and 0.91% in Truvada recipients. The 6.6% is more
than double the 3% incidence anticipated before the trial, though not as high
as the 9% seen in the deferred-PrEP arm in PROUD.
Study participants and sexual behaviour
We learn a little more about the study participants from the
report. Their average age was 34.5, with one in seven participants aged 18 to 24
and another one in seven 25 to 29. The majority (62%) were aged 30 to 49. Only a
quarter said they were in a relationship but remarkably – and this is
presumably one reason for volunteering for the study – 30% of those in a
relationship said their partner was HIV-positive (slightly more in the Truvada arm).
Half the participants were from Paris and 11% from Montréal in
Canada, with the others from Lyon, Nice, Tourcoing and Nantes in France. They had high levels of recreational drug use
(44.5% in the last year had used ecstasy, methamphetamine, amphetamine,
cocaine, GHB or GBL) and 25% had had more than five alcoholic drinks per day in the
past month.
The men had had a median number of eight sexual partners in
the past two months – similar to PROUD, where
participants averaged ten in the previous three months. This was the one
behavioural indicator that changed slightly during the study: it fell to 7.5
partners per two months in the placebo arm and not the Truvada arm and this was statistically significant but nonetheless
likely to be a chance finding.
Apart from this slight drop in the number of partners in
participants on placebo, sexual behaviour did not change during the study, with
70% throughout and in both arms having condomless anal sex in the previous two
months, and two-thirds of those having it receptively.
Adherence
Adherence was as described before: while it is challenging
to measure or even define ‘adherence’ to an intermittent regimen, 86% of
participants on Truvada had levels of
tenofovir in their body consistent with them taking at least one dose a week.
Interestingly so did eight men in the placebo arm; three of these had taken
post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) but presumably the other five had taken “informal
PrEP”.
Only 43% in self-report, however, said they had taken PrEP
in accordance with the study regimen last time they had sex, while 28% had not
taken it at all.
On average, participants took PrEP half the time, i.e. 15
days per month; 17% took PrEP more than 26 days a month, i.e. essentially daily,
while 31% took it for eleven days or fewer, i.e. less than 2.5 days per week, a
level that, according to data from the iPrEx study, would not be enough to
protect them from HIV if it represented a steady level of PrEP taking.
There was, however, tremendous variability in
individual participants’ adherence ‘careers’ throughout the study; while
some took it steadily and others
scarcely at all, many participants stopped or restarted PrEP irregularly, many
with gaps of several months off PrEP. Since irregular adherence (and the fact
that 29% of sex was not covered by PrEP at all) was not associated with HIV infection,
this presumably means that participants were correctly judging their levels of
risk and only taking PrEP when they judged it as high.
Fourteen per cent of participants took PEP during Ipergay
(16% on Truvada and 12% on placebo), compared
with an average of 18% in PROUD.
Safety
There were no serious drug-related adverse events in the
study though one participant had to stop Truvada
due to a suspected reaction with the anticoagulant drug dabigatran. However
there were significantly more gastro-intestinal events such as nausea, vomiting,
abdominal pain or diarrhoea in the Truvada
group than the placebo group (14% versus 5%).
Creatinine levels, an
indication of kidney performance, were raised in 18% of participants on Truvada versus 10% on placebo. Two participants
on Truvada had drops in creatinine
clearance to below 60mls/minute, definitive of mild kidney dysfunction, but
these were transient and did not last.
Comments and conclusions
In their comments the Ipergay researchers are notably
cautious about their findings. They comment that although the effectiveness of PrEP
seen in Ipergay was nearly the highest to date, “the short follow-up for our
study may have increased the likelihood of an exaggerated estimate of efficacy due
in part to high initial adherence.”
They add that “given that participants took a median of 15
pills a month, the results…cannot be extrapolated to [gay men] who have less frequent
sexual intercourse and thus would be taking tenofovir/emtricitabine on a more
intermittent regimen.” By definition men who had sex less often would have
lower HIV incidence and so a much bigger study would be needed to establish
whether intermittent PrEP was effective in them.