An HIV prevention intervention in which young people who had
tested negative for sexually transmitted infections were given lottery tickets
and had the possibility of winning a cash prize reduced the number of HIV
infections by 39% in young women, researchers reported to the 7th
International AIDS Society conference (IAS 2013) this week. However, the intervention did not have any impact on young
men in this trial in Lesotho.
Evaluations of HIV prevention interventions which measure
biological outcomes (such as new infections) rather than improvements in
knowledge or attitudes, are few and far between. Behavioural interventions
which demonstrate an efficacy of this magnitude are even rarer.
The conference also heard that financial incentives have
improved HIV testing rates in drug users in a Canadian study.
In recent years, interest in the possibility of influencing
health behaviours through conditional cash transfers and other financial incentives
has been growing. Aidsmap has reported on discussions of the ethics,
feasibility and effectiveness of these approaches at international conferences
in 2010,
2011
and 2012.
Lesotho lottery
Lesotho has an exceptionally high prevalence of HIV,
especially amongst young people. The study tested the hypothesis that a system
of rapid feedback and positive reinforcement, using a lottery scheme as an
incentive to reduce risky sexual behaviour, could be used to promote safer sex
and reduce HIV incidence in young people.
Study participants were 3426 men and women, aged between 18
and 32, living in one of 29 villages in Lesotho. Participants were randomised
to join one of three arms – high-value lottery, low-value lottery, or the
control arm (no intervention). While the study was randomised, it was unblinded
– people knew whether they were taking part in a lottery or not.
All participants received testing for sexually transmitted
infections (STIs), STI treatment if necessary, and counselling every four
months for two years. All participants were tested for HIV at baseline and
after 16, 20 and 24 months.
If a participant in one of the intervention arms had tested
negative for syphilis and Trichomonas
vaginalis he or she received a lottery ticket. If the participant was in
the high-value arm of the study, it was worth 1000 malotis or South African
Rand, approximately USD 100). If he or she was in the low-value arm, the lottery
ticket was worth 500 malotis or South African rand, USD 50).
A lottery was organised in each village, every four months.
There were two male winners and two female winners from each village. With
around 50 to 70 entrants per village, individuals had a relatively good chance
of winning, but only those who had remained STI-free could enter.
The evaluation assessed the effectiveness of the programme
in reducing new HIV infections after two years.
In young men, the programme had no impact. Compared to men
in the control arm, those taking part in the lottery were just as likely to
acquire HIV (adjusted odds ratio 1.25, 95% confidence interval 0.67-2.35).
But the intervention was effective for young women, reducing
infection rates by 33% if we consider both lottery arms together (adjusted odds
ratio 0.67, 95% CI 0.52-0.86).
And the intervention was most effective for those whose
lottery ticket could be worth 1000 malotis ($100). In the high-value lottery arm,
new HIV infections were reduced by 39% (adjusted odds ratio 0.61, 95% CI 0.45-0.84).
Amongst young women not
receiving the intervention, 6.6% had acquired HIV by 16 months, 11.6% by 20
months, and 14.6% by 24 months.
In contrast, in those eligible for the higher value ticket,
incidence was 4.7%, 7.2% and 10.6% respectively.
Cash incentives for HIV testing
The conference also heard results of an intervention in
Vancouver, Canada to improve engagement of drug users in HIV testing and
post-test follow-up. It is generally more feasible to use financial incentives
to facilitate a discrete, time-limited health behaviour such as testing or
vaccination, in contrast to sustained sexual behaviour change, as seen in
Lesotho.
Eligible participants were drug users (including
heroin, crystal methamphetamine etc., but not marijuana) who were either
untested or had previously been diagnosed but had dropped out of care. Three
hundred and one were randomised to either be offered standard counselling and
testing, or $10 following blood sampling and a further $15 if they actually
came back for their results.
Far more individuals were tested (100%) and came back for
results (83%) in the intervention arm than in the control arm (32 and 11%
respectively). The prevalence of HIV and newly diagnosed hepatitis C was high
in those taking part (10 and 17% respectively).
However, the study results do raise some questions. The
theory of financial incentives is that they should help people to achieve
outcomes that they desire but might struggle to achieve otherwise. With only a
third of participants in the control arm choosing to test (never mind get their
results), it appears that some participants were only in it for the money.
Moreover, the benefit of HIV diagnosis lies in receiving HIV treatment (and
facilitating behaviour change), so future studies should assess engagement with
medical care, rather than just getting test results.