However, if you consider the rate of emergent resistance among all those receiving the drug being tested in the trial (the column in orange in Tables 1 and 2), then the risk of developing emergent resistance from dolutegravir monotherapy is much higher at 2.6% than all of the injectable treatment trials (where emergent resistance ranged from 0.3% - 1.5% depending on the dosage). So, the absolute risk of developing emergent resistance from injectable cabotegravir and rilpivirine is much lower than that of dolutegravir monotherapy, but the relative risk among those who experience treatment failure is higher.
How can clinicians reduce the risk of someone developing emergent resistance?
Since the results from the earlier trials were published, research has been conducted into the risk factors that might increase someone’s susceptibility to developing drug resistance when using injectable cabotegravir and rilpivirine.
One study pooled data from ATLAS, FLAIR, and ATLAS-2M, and found that three factors increased someone’s risk of treatment failure. These were: having the HIV-1 subtype A6/A1; having a body mass index (BMI) equal to or above 30; and having genetic mutations associated with rilpivirine resistance before starting treatment. However, they found that having one of these factors was not enough on its own to increase someone’s risk of treatment failure – it was only when they had two or more that their risk increased. In addition, not everyone who experienced treatment failure had these risk factors, so the reason their treatment failed remains unexplained.
As a consequence of these findings, prescribing guidelines recommend that people with two or more of these risk factors are not prescribed injectable cabotegravir and rilpivirine. They also recommend excluding anyone with known or suspected pre-existing resistance to NNRTIs or integrase inhibitors.
However, Ripamonti and his colleagues highlight that establishing this information may be challenging for clinicians for two reasons.
Firstly, the most common tools used to identify HIV subtypes are not specific enough to distinguish between subtype A6 and other A subtypes, and many labs do not conduct the appropriate tests for identifying genetic mutations associated with rilpivirine resistance. Notably, 4 out of the 8 participants in the 8-week dosing arm of the ATLAS-2M study and 1 of the 2 participants from the SOLAR study who developed emergent resistance were later identified as also having NNRTI or integrase inhibitor resistance before they began the study, meaning that the clinical trials had also initially missed these risk factors, despite having more resources available than in routine care.
Secondly, people who have been taking HIV treatment for a long time may not have had all their treatment failures identified and recorded at the time. For example, people taking treatment more than 25 years ago were likely using drugs with a much higher risk of emergent resistance at a time when resistance tests and even viral load tests were not widely available. In many countries, clinics do not regularly test for drug resistance, even if a patient experiences virological failure.
Consequently, the authors make the following recommendations:
- Factors that put people at risk of developing drug resistance should be thoroughly investigated before prescribing injectable cabotegravir and rilpivirine. In particular, clinicians should aim to use DNA resistance testing to detect archived mutations, although this test is not always available.
- Doctors should be cautious when prescribing long-acting injectable cabotegravir and rilpivirine to patients with long and/or complex treatment histories. In addition, people with low CD4 cell counts or previous experience of AIDS were excluded from clinical trials, and might also be at risk of treatment failure.
- Before switching a patient to injectable cabotegravir and rilpivirine, clinicians should proactively identify their remaining treatment options should they experience treatment failure and develop resistance to both drugs.
In relation to their last recommendation, the authors point out that in most cases of virological failure, it would be advisable to include boosted darunavir in their adjusted treatment regimen. Therefore, they advise that candidates for switching to injectable cabotegravir and rilpivirine should not have previously experienced any viral rebound under protease inhibitors, even if they did not develop resistance as a result. Clinicians should also gather any available information on past allergy or intolerance to darunavir or boosting agents and risk of drug interactions between boosted darunavir and any other medications the patient is taking.
“As appealing as this long-acting option may appear, both clinicians and people with HIV should be aware of the associated risks, carefully weighing all baseline factors and planning the appropriate exit strategy in the event of failure,” conclude Dr Ripamonti and colleagues.